by Michael Miller
Original article is here.
Added December 12, 2007: Professor Hassan
Astaneh-Asl gives a very accessible explanation of the problem with
truss-arch bridges in this
article from UC-Berkeley, published August 3, 2007.
Added November 7, 2007: We just found two
recent articles from the Star Tribune about the bridge collapse and
added them to this page.
The first article
(17 October 2007) is about how certain gusset plates might have failed
due to rust and high temperature. That article contains a nice graphic showing the
locations of those gusset plates (one error in that graphic is the
reference to "L-10" instead of to "U-10"). According to a note in
that graphic, the rust on the L-11 gusset was detected in 1993 and
MNDoT noted it in their records at that time. If the rust on L-11
caused the bridge to collapse, that means MNDoT had 14 years to do
something about it, but they failed to protect us. If the
construction of L-11 is "a design flaw," it's a design flaw that they
could have taken care of 14 years ago. The Star Tribune's copy of the
article can be
found here.
The second
article (1 November 2007) is about U.S. Transportation Secretary
Mary Peters' statements about a "working theory" of the bridge
collapse. Isn't it unwise for a person in her position to make such
statements more than a year before the official report will be
released? Apparently, she was making similar statements a week after
the bridge collapsed. Isn't Peters' "working theory" that the bridge
collapsed because (A) MNDoT failed for 40 years to fix a "design flaw"
that had been known for at least 14 years and (B) MNDoT failed to keep
the weight burden off of the bridge when they knew it was vulnerable?
Why didn't MNDoT detect failing gussets in an inspection before
undertaking the deck work? The Star Tribune's copy of the article can be
found here.
Added September 16, 2007: Messages from an
engineer that were listed here earlier
(September 14, 16) have been removed because they are not credible.
Added August 29, 2007: An acquaintance posted a link to my bridge web
page on reddit.com. You can see the reddit.com comments
here. I appreciate all the ideas and I will now add a few remarks
to clarify some issues:
- If I were to write the page today, after learning quite a lot
about bridges during the past three weeks, I would write it somewhat
differently. The main difference would be that it has become clear to
me that many errors were made in management of the bridge and quite a
few things likely contributed to the collapse. A focus on any one
problem is a bit misleading.
- Some people suggest that I am presenting a "conspiracy theory,"
but they are mistaken. I'm only pointing out one fact about the
construction project. It is true that in the days following the
collapse, state officials and the construction company claimed that
the construction work was mere "resurfacing" which could not have
contributed to a structural failure. I noted that on my page and
showed this image from the NY
Times. The state officials and construction company were
inaccurate, or possibly inaccurately quoted, because, as the
"construction gash" photo shows, they were doing much more than mere
resurfacing.
- I pointed out that I am an epidemiology faculty member because I
wanted it to be clear that I am a scientist, but I am not an engineer.
I did not claim to know why the bridge collapsed. I have no expertise
in steel structures or bridges. Does this mean that you "should not
listen" to me? I think you should listen to this: All I am saying is
that major work was being done on the bridge deck and the expansion
joints, this is clearly visible in the photograph, and I can place the
location of the construction work in the photo very precisely on the
bridge. As to what this tells us, I am not sure because I am not an
expert. Any claims I may have made about the cause of collapse should
be taken with a grain of salt (which is why I stated my
qualifications, or lack thereof, at the outset).
- Someone presented this claim: Concrete has almost no tensile
strength and its use as bridge decking material is solely as a
platform to drive upon. It has nothing at all to do with the
structural integrity of the bridge itself. Any entry-level statics
course would tell you that much, but apparently a handful of armchair
reddit'ers prefer to take the "expertise" of an epidemiologist on this
subject as prima facie fact. Unfortunately, the individual who wrote that
[buford13] does not know what he is talking about. I spent
several days with a preeminent expert (structural engineer, full
professor, specialist in steel structures) and he told me something
entirely different. Namely, the concrete has two layers: the top
layer is two inches thick and it plays no structural role, but the
lower layer is nine inches thick and it plays an important structural
role which must be taken into account when construction work on the
deck is undertaken. He couldn't have been clearer on this point.
Another engineering professor told me that my web page contains
important information that should be sent to NTSB, and I would have
sent it to NTSB if I could have figured out how to do it (feel free to
tell them about the page if you know how to contact them).
- What I wrote in Point 4 bears repeating: Construction work on the
bridge deck that goes deeper than the first two inches of the surface
layer is not "resurfacing" and it can endanger the structural
integrity of the bridge. The deck is part of the structure. Don't
believe this if you don't want to, but you can read similar statements
in the NY Times and I'm telling you that I was told this very clearly
by an absolutely rock-solid expert structural engineering professor.
- Again, I cannot tell you what caused the bridge to fail, but I can
tell you that work on the concrete of the bridge deck, as shown in the
"construction gash" photo, and in the photo added today (see item
below), can play a role in a collapse. I don't know what the
final story will be, but it is likely that the construction work
played a role in some way. I'm not telling you this as an expert, but
as someone who has read the words of several experts and can report on
what they said.
Added August 29, 2007: I've added another pre-collapse photo here with analysis.
Added August 19, 2007: This is the original MNDOT traffic video from the time of the collapse: collapse2mins.wmv.
Added August 14, 2007: Jim Pankow sent me this great email message to draw my attention to
this MPR article about the bridge collapse [source].
Added August 13, 2007: This Star
Tribune article shows that the possible impact of bridge
resurfacing on the structural integrity of the bridge was not
considered in planning the construction work [source].
Added August 13, 2007: My colleague Jim Pankow noted the mile marker
at 18.5 miles in the construction
photo. Combining that information with his observation of
still-standing mile markers at 18.4 and 18.3 miles (both next to WBOB)
he can show the location of the construction gash in a second way that
corroborates what I had found using the vanishing-point method and the
location of Elliott Hall. In addition, all three of those markers are
visible in the
Microsoft aerial view of the intact bridge which makes it obvious
that the construction gash is just where I said it was.